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The
Silver Story
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SILVER
DEFICITS (millions)
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1990
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<30.8>
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1991
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<68.1>
|
|
1992
|
<75.7>
|
|
1993
|
<183.8>
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|
1994
|
<200.6>
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|
1995
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<182.9>
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|
1996
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<207.6>
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|
1997
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<221.6>
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1998
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<205.0>
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|
1999
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<161.5>
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2000
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<154.9>
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2001
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<82.7>
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2002
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<81.3>
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2003
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<64.2>*
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Source:
CPM Group, Silver Survey 2003 * =
estimate
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Silver on Sale by Doug Casey www.caseyresearch.com
I have said it many times: mining is an innately risky business. Worse, it’s an
impossible business if metals prices are too low. In the case of silver, during
the long bear market from 1980 to 2003, when silver traded mostly in the
$3.50-$5 per ounce range, there were no major, public, pure silver mining
companies that generated free cash flow. None. The end result was that very few
pure silver producers remained in business. With the exception of a smattering
of mines in Mexico, Peru and very few other locations, it has simply been
uneconomic to produce silver (other than as a by-product). That is not to say
that there haven’t been profitable silver mines, but these are generally owned
by very large mining companies such as BHP Billiton (BHP.Z, $17.20. SO 3.11
billion). These are not stocks you would buy strictly for the silver exposure,
however, because silver is a minute portion of the overall value of the
company. Which points to one of the fundamental caveats about silver: namely
that around 80% of new production is a byproduct of gold, copper, lead and
zinc. So silver is produced almost regardless of its price. That makes primary
production of silver even more volatile and risky than mining in general. ...
More
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Silver
The Undervalued Asset Looking For A Catalyst
by Jim Puplava
FinancialSense.com
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Introduction
When I sat down to write The Perfect Financial Storm
in the summer of 2000, my storm analogy was based on three storm fronts
colliding with each other. Like the real storm on Halloween 1991, three
economic forces were turning into storms fronts. The first and foremost storm
was developing in the credit markets as a vast mountain of debt was being
created. This ocean of money, which had ignited a boom, was now turning into a
bust. In order to avoid the consequences of a deflating credit bubble, the Fed
embarked on a massive monetary stimulus program ...
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Silver
An Economic Geologists Perspective
by Nigel H Maund
Investor Summary
The fundamentals behind the world silver market are
looking increasingly strong. Silver bullion stocks of central and investment
banks are at an all time low, or, in many cases, totally depleted. The demand
for silver, especially in the diverse high technology and medical market
segments (40%) is steadily increasing, as is the investment market segment in
silver coins and bullion. The analogue or standard photographic segment, a
substantial industrial market for silver, diminished in the last calendar year
by a matter of a few percent only, despite the much vaunted demise of the
silver market posed by advent of digital photography. A substantial proportion;
i.e., 70% of the "Old Silver Scrap" market, comprising some 22% of the total
market supply, was provided through the recycling of photographic film and
paper. Hence, demand for silver in the photographic market is 85%, met through
recycling within this segment. Furthermore, the "take off" of the digital
camera market is restricted, in large part, to the young and relatively
affluent (professional and young) market segments in developed economies ...More
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the like) available on this site. In no event shall SilverStrategies.com
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action taken in reliance upon the information provided
herein. |
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